Medical Risk Appraisal & Life
Expectancy Program Illustration
available as a PowerPoint Presentation - download here

Purposes:

1 Physician Advocacy – minimize medical malpractice economic damages related to impairment-specific years of life-expectancy lost in tort cases by providing fact-based expert opinion on reduced longevity; educate to improve applications of best medical evidence for more effective risk management.

Provide physicians, lawyers, risk managers, and others with a succinct understanding of the short and long-term impact of the additional mortality associated with various diseases, injuries, disabilities & other risk factors, and their morbid contribution to diminished longevity in biostatistical, social, legal and economic terms.

2 Defense and Plaintiff Law Practitioners – educate & support malpractice defense and plaintiff lawyers through the judicious identification, evaluation and application of the most relevant, quantifiable, statistically valid and actuarially sound clinical outcomes information available.
3 Civil Justice System Advocacy – Provide a systematic & coherent knowledge framework to enhance more consistent, responsible, equitable, fair and reasonable civil judgments.
4 Insurance Industry – Enhance risk classification practices based on best clinical outcomes information; use automated mortality methodology and life expectancy tools to monitor survival, excess mortality, and longevity assumptions for underwriter studies of policies on insured lives for routine risk management, underwriting requirements, profit and financial protection; create greater economic value/unit of knowledge for company – competitor differentiation.
5 Public Health Advocacy - Amplify future trends in mortality, life expectancy and emerging risk factors based on population medicine principles & epidemiologic statistical fact.
   
Life Expectancy Program Overview and General Methodologic Steps

The PowerPoint Illustration is a brief abstract of the most salient points contained in the complete 29-page automated software program developed and used by Dr. Milano. This illustration highlights the mathematical principles, procedures and methodologies inherent in the professional publications of Dr. Richard B. Singer (M.D.) retired life insurance medical director and industry consultant, The American Academy of Insurance Medicine, and others. A hypothetical example of a 66-year old male (Mr. John Doe) with multiple medical impairments is presented.

Methods

1 Epidemiologic principles and standard actuarial methods provide the scientific framework for accurately measuring reduced individual life expectancy caused by additional mortality associated with various risk factors, diseases and disabilities.
2 Mortality rates by age, sex and race for a specific period may be summarized by the life table method to obtain measures of comparative longevity.
3 The life tables contained in the illustration are based on age, sex, and race-specific death rates contained in the current U.S. Life Tables for the period 1989-91 and are used as the standard of comparison for individual life expectancy.
4 Tabular summations of multiple risk factor excess death rates (EDRs) are used for the calculation of individual life expectancy for future attained ages.
5 Decimal values of the excess mortality values are added to annual mortality rates for males in the U.S. population to obtain projected mortality rates for a group with a set of risk factors similar to those in the hypothetical case illustration of Mr. John Doe, age 66.
6 These values are converted into a figure for reduced life expectancy, displayed in a life expectancy table from attained age 66 years to 109 years, and compared with the life expectancy of persons matched by age and sex in the latest Decennial U.S. Life Tables (see slides 10-12).
7 Age and sex-specific tables & graphic presentations of comparative mortality and life expectancy are highlighted.
8 The electronic spreadsheet computer program (not included here) incorporates an enabling software technology designed to make explicit the automated construction of impairment-specific life expectancy tables.
9 Conclusions are easily prepared concerning:
 
  • remaining years of life expectancy
  • percent reduction from normal expected life expectancy
   
 

Download the PowerPoint Presentation

 
MARKET FOCUS
Indemnity industry:
Mortality Risk Products:

life insurance policies
Longevity Risk Products
annuities
disability policies
structured settlements
viaticals

Legal Profession

Medical Malpractice Defense or Advocacy in Tort Cases
   
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